Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Carolina Panthers 4th & 6 at the 76

Carolina Panthers 0 – New Orleans Saints 0

(6:35) 10-J.Hekker punts 49 yards to NO 27, Center-44-J.Jansen. 5-J.Landry pushed ob at NO 30 for 3 yards (23-S.Thomas-Oliver).

The Three Options

GO -1.92 EP

39% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 70, worth +1.63 EP
61% chance to fail: New Orleans Saints takes over around their own 76, worth -4.23 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (93 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model