Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Pittsburgh Steelers 4th & 5 at the 62

Pittsburgh Steelers 0 – Cleveland Browns 0

(11:11) 6-P.Harvin punts 39 yards to CLE 23, Center-46-C.Kuntz, fair catch by 80-C.Rogers.

The Three Options

GO -1.33 EP

43% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 57, worth +1.85 EP
57% chance to fail: Cleveland Browns takes over around their own 62, worth -3.69 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (79 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model