Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Arizona Cardinals 4th & 13 at the 67

Arizona Cardinals 3 – Seattle Seahawks 6

(1:01) 14-A.Lee punts 35 yards to SEA 32, Center-46-A.Brewer, fair catch by 31-D.Dallas.

The Three Options

GO -1.71 EP

32% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 54, worth +1.99 EP
68% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 67, worth -3.47 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (84 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model