Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Carolina Panthers 4th & 16 at the 65

Carolina Panthers 10 – Los Angeles Rams 24

(6:11) 10-J.Hekker punts 51 yards to LA 14, Center-44-J.Jansen, fair catch by 19-B.Powell.

The Three Options

GO -1.92 EP

25% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 49, worth +2.18 EP
75% chance to fail: Los Angeles Rams takes over around their own 65, worth -3.28 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (82 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model