Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Los Angeles Chargers 4th & 7 at the 76

Los Angeles Chargers 14 – Atlanta Falcons 10

(14:03) 16-J.Scott punts 44 yards to ATL 32, Center-47-J.Harris, fair catch by 35-A.Williams.

The Three Options

GO -1.97 EP

44% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 69, worth +1.34 EP
56% chance to fail: Atlanta Falcons takes over around their own 76, worth -4.52 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (93 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model