Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Minnesota Vikings 4th & 6 at the 71

Minnesota Vikings 27 – New York Jets 22

(5:38) 14-R.Wright punts 55 yards to NYJ 16, Center-42-A.DePaola, fair catch by 10-B.Berrios.

The Three Options

GO -1.78 EP

42% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.37 EP
58% chance to fail: New York Jets takes over around their own 71, worth -4.05 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (88 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model