Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 17 at the 91

Seattle Seahawks 14 – Los Angeles Rams 10

(3:16) 4-M.Dickson punts 62 yards to LA 29, Center-46-C.Tinker. 19-B.Powell to LA 37 for 8 yards (35-J.Blount).

The Three Options

GO -3.27 EP

32% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 74, worth +1.21 EP
68% chance to fail: Los Angeles Rams takes over around their own 91, worth -5.35 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (108 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model