Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 19 at the 80

Los Angeles Rams 3 – Las Vegas Raiders 13

(12:19) 11-R.Dixon punts 38 yards to LV 42, Center-42-M.Orzech, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -2.72 EP

27% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 61, worth +2.25 EP
73% chance to fail: Las Vegas Raiders takes over around their own 80, worth -4.54 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (97 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model