Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 7 at the 62

Seattle Seahawks 0 – San Francisco 49ers 0

(9:21) 4-M.Dickson punts 48 yards to SF 14, Center-46-C.Tinker, fair catch by 3-R.McCloud.

The Three Options

GO -0.87 EP

40% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 55, worth +2.65 EP
60% chance to fail: San Francisco 49ers takes over around their own 62, worth -3.20 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (79 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model