Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 New York Giants 4th & 15 at the 68

New York Giants 0 – Philadelphia Eagles 16

(:13) 6-J.Gillan punts 42 yards to PHI 26, Center-58-C.Kreiter, downed by NYG-27-J.Pinnock.

The Three Options

GO -1.23 EP

29% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 53, worth +0.75 EP
71% chance to fail: Philadelphia Eagles takes over around their own 68, worth -2.04 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (85 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model