Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Dallas Cowboys 4th & 8 at the 61

Dallas Cowboys 40 – New York Giants 0

(9:14) 5-B.Anger punts 42 yards to NYG 19, Center-44-T.Sieg, downed by DAL-89-P.Hendershot.

The Three Options

GO -1.01 EP

40% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 53, worth +2.46 EP
60% chance to fail: New York Giants takes over around their own 61, worth -3.32 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (78 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model