Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 8 at the 73

Seattle Seahawks 13 – Los Angeles Rams 24

(9:19) 4-M.Dickson punts 73 yards to end zone, Center-41-C.Stoll, Touchback. PENALTY on SEA, Illegal Formation, 5 yards, enforced at LA 20.

The Three Options

GO -1.76 EP

40% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.71 EP
60% chance to fail: Los Angeles Rams takes over around their own 73, worth -4.04 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (90 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model