Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Tennessee Titans 4th & 6 at the 73

Tennessee Titans 6 – New Orleans Saints 3

(10:01) 4-R.Stonehouse punts 1 yard to TEN 28, Center-46-M.Cox, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -1.93 EP

41% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 67, worth +1.49 EP
59% chance to fail: New Orleans Saints takes over around their own 73, worth -4.33 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (90 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model