Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Detroit Lions 4th & 5 at the 89

Detroit Lions 14 – Seattle Seahawks 7

(:52) 3-J.Fox punts 53 yards to SEA 36, Center-47-S.Daly, fair catch by 31-D.Dallas.

The Three Options

GO -2.10 EP

53% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 84, worth +0.33 EP
47% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 89, worth -4.83 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (106 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model