Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Los Angeles Chargers 4th & 18 at the 69

Los Angeles Chargers 21 – Minnesota Vikings 17

(:15) 16-J.Scott punts 52 yards to MIN 17, Center-47-J.Harris, fair catch by 4-B.Powell.

The Three Options

GO -1.92 EP

29% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 51, worth +2.69 EP
71% chance to fail: Minnesota Vikings takes over around their own 69, worth -3.77 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (86 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model