Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Atlanta Falcons 4th & 14 at the 67

Atlanta Falcons 10 – Washington Commanders 24

(8:03) 13-B.Pinion punts 52 yards to WAS 15, Center-49-L.McCullough, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -1.90 EP

29% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 53, worth +2.71 EP
71% chance to fail: Washington Commanders takes over around their own 67, worth -3.80 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (84 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model