Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Kansas City Chiefs 4th & 8 at the 65

Kansas City Chiefs 24 – Los Angeles Chargers 17

(8:07) 5-T.Townsend punts 43 yards to LAC 22, Center-41-J.Winchester, fair catch by 12-D.Davis.

The Three Options

GO -1.33 EP

41% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 57, worth +1.97 EP
59% chance to fail: Los Angeles Chargers takes over around their own 65, worth -3.63 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (82 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model