Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Pittsburgh Steelers 4th & 7 at the 72

Pittsburgh Steelers 0 – Los Angeles Rams 0

(13:45) 6-P.Harvin punts 35 yards to LA 37, Center-46-C.Kuntz, fair catch by 81-A.Trammell.

The Three Options

GO -2.17 EP

40% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.36 EP
60% chance to fail: Los Angeles Rams takes over around their own 72, worth -4.54 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (89 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model