Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 12 at the 77

Los Angeles Rams 3 – Dallas Cowboys 17

(13:44) 42-E.Evans punt is BLOCKED by 54-S.Williams, Center-47-A.Ward, ball out of bounds in End Zone, SAFETY.

The Three Options

GO -2.58 EP

33% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.38 EP
67% chance to fail: Dallas Cowboys takes over around their own 77, worth -4.53 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (94 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model