Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Washington Commanders 4th & 14 at the 80

Washington Commanders 9 – Seattle Seahawks 6

(7:38) 5-T.Way punts 49 yards to SEA 31, Center-54-C.Cheeseman. 31-D.Dallas to SEA 36 for 5 yards (34-C.Holmes).

The Three Options

GO -2.74 EP

31% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 66, worth +1.50 EP
69% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 80, worth -4.63 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (97 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model