Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Washington Commanders 4th & 3 at the 68

Washington Commanders 9 – Seattle Seahawks 9

(1:05) 5-T.Way punts 40 yards to SEA 28, Center-54-C.Cheeseman, downed by WAS-20-J.Martin.

The Three Options

GO -1.02 EP

54% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.08 EP
46% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 68, worth -3.52 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (85 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model