Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Washington Commanders 4th & 10 at the 58

Washington Commanders 6 – Seattle Seahawks 3

(5:43) 5-T.Way punts 43 yards to SEA 15, Center-54-C.Cheeseman, fair catch by 31-D.Dallas.

The Three Options

GO -1.37 EP

33% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 48, worth +2.49 EP
67% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 58, worth -3.30 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (75 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model