Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 9 at the 63

Seattle Seahawks 16 – Los Angeles Rams 7

(14:55) 4-M.Dickson punts 46 yards to LA 17, Center-41-C.Stoll. 81-A.Trammell to LA 32 for 15 yards (20-J.Love).

The Three Options

GO -1.39 EP

36% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 54, worth +2.45 EP
64% chance to fail: Los Angeles Rams takes over around their own 63, worth -3.56 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (80 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model