Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 4th & 13 at the 72

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7 – Carolina Panthers 3

(:59) 5-J.Camarda punts 46 yards to CAR 26, Center-97-Z.Triner, fair catch by 11-I.Smith-Marsette.

The Three Options

GO -2.00 EP

32% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 59, worth +1.68 EP
68% chance to fail: Carolina Panthers takes over around their own 72, worth -3.72 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (89 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model