Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 New York Giants 4th & 9 at the 74

New York Giants 0 – Philadelphia Eagles 0

(13:35) 6-J.Gillan punts 41 yards to PHI 33, Center-59-C.Kreiter. 18-B.Covey pushed ob at NYG 13 for 54 yards (47-C.Brown).

The Three Options

GO -2.51 EP

35% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.36 EP
65% chance to fail: Philadelphia Eagles takes over around their own 74, worth -4.62 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (91 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model