Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 13 at the 82

Los Angeles Rams 20 – New York Giants 10

(6:43) 42-E.Evans punts 72 yards to NYG 10, Center-46-C.Tinker. 80-G.Olszewski to NYG 9 for -1 yards (25-J.Taylor).

The Three Options

GO -2.91 EP

33% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 69, worth +1.16 EP
67% chance to fail: New York Giants takes over around their own 82, worth -4.94 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (99 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model