Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 New York Giants 4th & 6 at the 75

New York Giants 0 – Los Angeles Rams 0

(7:41) 6-J.Gillan punts 47 yards to LA 28, Center-59-C.Kreiter, fair catch by 81-A.Trammell.

The Three Options

GO -1.77 EP

41% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 69, worth +1.72 EP
59% chance to fail: Los Angeles Rams takes over around their own 75, worth -4.16 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (92 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model