Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Kansas City Chiefs 4th & 17 at the 61

Kansas City Chiefs 7 – Los Angeles Chargers 0

(:35) 5-T.Townsend punts 61 yards to end zone, Center-41-J.Winchester, Touchback.

The Three Options

GO -1.82 EP

27% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 44, worth +2.79 EP
73% chance to fail: Los Angeles Chargers takes over around their own 61, worth -3.54 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (78 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model