Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Dallas Cowboys 4th & 10 at the 93

Dallas Cowboys 3 – Baltimore Ravens 14

(8:28) 5-B.Anger punts 62 yards to BAL 31, Center-44-T.Sieg. 3-D.Harty to BAL 47 for 16 yards (30-J.Thomas).

The Three Options

GO -3.05 EP

38% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 83, worth +0.73 EP
62% chance to fail: Baltimore Ravens takes over around their own 93, worth -5.36 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (110 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model