Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Dallas Cowboys 4th & 7 at the 66

Dallas Cowboys 3 – Baltimore Ravens 14

(3:15) 5-B.Anger punts 54 yards to BAL 12, Center-44-T.Sieg, fair catch by 3-D.Harty.

The Three Options

GO -1.38 EP

40% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 59, worth +1.88 EP
60% chance to fail: Baltimore Ravens takes over around their own 66, worth -3.58 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (83 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model