Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Los Angeles Chargers 4th & 6 at the 60

Los Angeles Chargers 10 – Pittsburgh Steelers 7

(:52) 16-J.Scott punts 46 yards to PIT 14, Center-47-J.Harris, fair catch by 19-C.Austin.

The Three Options

GO -1.26 EP

39% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 54, worth +1.36 EP
61% chance to fail: Pittsburgh Steelers takes over around their own 60, worth -2.91 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (77 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model