Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Pittsburgh Steelers 4th & 7 at the 76

Pittsburgh Steelers 0 – Los Angeles Chargers 0

(10:47) 8-C.Waitman punts 52 yards to LAC 24, Center-46-C.Kuntz, fair catch by 12-D.Davis.

The Three Options

GO -1.90 EP

39% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 69, worth +1.75 EP
61% chance to fail: Los Angeles Chargers takes over around their own 76, worth -4.24 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (93 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model