Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Cleveland Browns 4th & 8 at the 67

Cleveland Browns 3 – Washington Commanders 10

(6:54) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 41 yards to WAS 26, Center-47-C.Hughlett, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -1.73 EP

37% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 59, worth +1.81 EP
63% chance to fail: Washington Commanders takes over around their own 67, worth -3.83 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (84 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model