Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 New York Giants 4th & 7 at the 88

New York Giants 0 – Cincinnati Bengals 7

(2:00) 38-M.Haack punts 42 yards to CIN 46, Center-59-C.Kreiter. 15-C.Jones to CIN 45 for -1 yards (44-N.McCloud).

The Three Options

GO -2.35 EP

44% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 81, worth +0.85 EP
56% chance to fail: Cincinnati Bengals takes over around their own 88, worth -4.86 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (105 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model