Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 New York Giants 4th & 10 at the 63

New York Giants 3 – Philadelphia Eagles 28

(3:30) 38-M.Haack punts 55 yards to PHI 8, Center-59-C.Kreiter, fair catch by 33-C.DeJean.

The Three Options

GO -1.24 EP

35% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 53, worth +1.69 EP
65% chance to fail: Philadelphia Eagles takes over around their own 63, worth -2.81 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (80 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model