Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Minnesota Vikings 4th & 16 at the 64

Minnesota Vikings 14 – Los Angeles Rams 14

(2:57) 17-R.Wright punts 53 yards to LA 11, Center-42-A.DePaola, fair catch by 19-X.Smith.

The Three Options

GO -1.76 EP

29% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 48, worth +2.63 EP
71% chance to fail: Los Angeles Rams takes over around their own 64, worth -3.54 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (81 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model