Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 New York Giants 4th & 6 at the 66

New York Giants 9 – Pittsburgh Steelers 16

(2:39) 38-M.Haack punts 66 yards to end zone, Center-59-C.Kreiter, Touchback.

The Three Options

GO -1.37 EP

41% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 60, worth +1.95 EP
59% chance to fail: Pittsburgh Steelers takes over around their own 66, worth -3.67 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (83 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model