Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 New York Jets 4th & 19 at the 67

New York Jets 0 – Houston Texans 7

(1:55) 6-T.Morstead punts 38 yards to HOU 29, Center-42-T.Hennessy, fair catch by 82-S.Sims.

The Three Options

GO -1.94 EP

26% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 48, worth +2.66 EP
74% chance to fail: Houston Texans takes over around their own 67, worth -3.52 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (84 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model