Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Cleveland Browns 4th & 15 at the 82

Cleveland Browns 3 – Los Angeles Chargers 13

(6:27) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 53 yards to LAC 29, Center-50-R.Sunahara. 12-D.Davis to LAC 40 for 11 yards (59-W.Reid).

The Three Options

GO -2.82 EP

27% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 67, worth +1.84 EP
73% chance to fail: Los Angeles Chargers takes over around their own 82, worth -4.54 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (99 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model