Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Cleveland Browns 4th & 15 at the 61

Cleveland Browns 0 – Los Angeles Chargers 7

(1:51) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 40 yards to LAC 21, Center-50-R.Sunahara, fair catch by 15-L.McConkey.

The Three Options

GO -1.45 EP

25% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 46, worth +3.22 EP
75% chance to fail: Los Angeles Chargers takes over around their own 61, worth -3.00 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (78 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model