Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Jacksonville Jaguars 4th & 8 at the 68

Jacksonville Jaguars 0 – Minnesota Vikings 0

(13:33) 9-L.Cooke punts 68 yards to end zone, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Touchback.

The Three Options

GO -1.36 EP

37% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 60, worth +2.70 EP
63% chance to fail: Minnesota Vikings takes over around their own 68, worth -3.78 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (85 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model