Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Philadelphia Eagles 4th & 9 at the 62

Philadelphia Eagles 14 – Dallas Cowboys 6

(13:56) 10-B.Mann punts 51 yards to DAL 11, Center-49-R.Lovato, fair catch by 9-K.Turpin.

The Three Options

GO -1.13 EP

39% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 53, worth +2.67 EP
61% chance to fail: Dallas Cowboys takes over around their own 62, worth -3.57 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (79 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model