Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Los Angeles Chargers 4th & 7 at the 79

Los Angeles Chargers 27 – Tennessee Titans 10

(3:31) 16-J.Scott punts 40 yards to TEN 39, Center-47-J.Harris, fair catch by 19-J.Jackson.

The Three Options

GO -1.93 EP

41% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 72, worth +0.99 EP
59% chance to fail: Tennessee Titans takes over around their own 79, worth -3.99 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (96 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model