Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 4th & 6 at the 67

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7 – New York Giants 0

(1:41) 16-T.Gill punts 47 yards to NYG 20, Center-86-E.Deckers. 87-I.Smith-Marsette to NYG 28 for 8 yards (37-T.Thomas; 98-A.Nelson).

The Three Options

GO -1.54 EP

45% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 61, worth +1.44 EP
55% chance to fail: New York Giants takes over around their own 67, worth -3.96 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (84 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model