Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 New Orleans Saints 4th & 17 at the 75

New Orleans Saints 7 – New York Giants 3

(1:55) 43-M.Hayball punts 38 yards to NYG 37, Center-49-Z.Wood, fair catch by 87-I.Smith-Marsette.

The Three Options

GO -2.50 EP

28% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 58, worth +1.99 EP
72% chance to fail: New York Giants takes over around their own 75, worth -4.26 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (92 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model