Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 12 at the 56

Seattle Seahawks 17 – Arizona Cardinals 10

(8:53) 4-M.Dickson punts 51 yards to ARI 5, Center-41-C.Stoll. 4-G.Dortch ran ob at ARI 18 for 13 yards (88-A.Barner).

The Three Options

GO -1.29 EP

30% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 44, worth +2.86 EP
70% chance to fail: Arizona Cardinals takes over around their own 56, worth -3.12 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (73 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model