Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Carolina Panthers 4th & 14 at the 73

Carolina Panthers 0 – Dallas Cowboys 10

(2:48) 10-J.Hekker punts 41 yards to DAL 32, Center-44-J.Jansen, downed by CAR-44-J.Jansen.

The Three Options

GO -2.08 EP

30% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 59, worth +1.99 EP
70% chance to fail: Dallas Cowboys takes over around their own 73, worth -3.86 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (90 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model