Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 San Francisco 49ers 4th & 4 at the 64

San Francisco 49ers 3 – Los Angeles Rams 3

(:36) 40-P.O'Donnell punts 42 yards to LA 22, Center-46-T.Pepper, fair catch by 19-X.Smith.

The Three Options

GO -0.62 EP

52% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 60, worth +1.35 EP
48% chance to fail: Los Angeles Rams takes over around their own 64, worth -2.71 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (81 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model