Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 6 at the 66

Los Angeles Rams 25 – Seattle Seahawks 30

(2:35) (Shotgun) 11-J.Garoppolo pass short right to 89-T.Higbee to SEA 49 for 17 yards (13-E.Jones; 2-R.Jenkins) [90-Ja.Reed].

The Three Options

GO -1.13 EP

What Happened

44% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 60, worth +1.34 EP
56% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 66, worth -3.07 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (83 yards).

Chose GO Model wanted PUNT instead — cost +0.35 EP