Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 10 at the 66

Los Angeles Rams 7 – Philadelphia Eagles 6

(2:47) 42-E.Evans punts 49 yards to PHI 17, Center-47-A.Ward. 33-C.DeJean ran ob at PHI 17 for no gain.

The Three Options

GO -1.73 EP

36% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 56, worth +2.05 EP
64% chance to fail: Philadelphia Eagles takes over around their own 66, worth -3.81 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (83 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model